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Corn Futures Retreat Early Monday as Export Pace Lags Behind USDA Targets

Corn futures slipped 1 to 3 cents early Monday, following a Friday close that saw contracts steady to 5 cents lower. Export sales data indicates old crop commitments at 68.875 MMT, representing an 82% pace against USDA projections. Ahead of the March Intentions report, traders anticipate acreage declines and higher grain stocks.

This article is based on third-party reporting. Budget Nerd does not guarantee completeness or accuracy and is not responsible for external source content.

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Image license: PDM • USDAgov license source

Market Overview

Corn price action is down 1 to 3 cents early on Monday morning. Futures eased back lower into the weekend, closing Friday with contracts steady to 5 cents lower led by the nearbys. Front month May was down 3 ½ cents last week. Open interest was up 6,554 contracts on Friday.

The CmdtyView national average Cash Corn price was down 5 cents to $4.19 1/2. Specific contract performance includes:

  • May 26 Corn closed at $4.62, down 5 cents, currently down 1 3/4 cents
  • Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.73 1/2, down 4 1/2 cents, currently down 2 cents
  • Dec 26 Corn closed at $4.90 1/4, down 4 1/4 cents, currently down 2 3/4 cents

Fundamental Drivers

Export Sales data from Thursday tallied old crop corn commitments at 68.875 MMT, a 30% improvement from last year. That is now 82% of the USDA export projection and is behind the average pace of 86%.

Commitment of Traders data showed a total of 55,744 contracts added to the managed money net long position in corn futures and options as of March 24. That took the total to 284,548 contracts. Commercials added 45,429 contracts to their net short position to 567,545 contracts.

Context: Upcoming Reports and Global Supply

Ahead of the USDA March Intentions report on Tuesday, traders are looking for 94.37 million acres of corn to be reported by NASS. That would be a 4.4 million decline from last year if realized. Grain Stocks data is expected to be tallied at 9.104 billion bushels for March 1, which would be up 957 million bushels from a year ago if realized.

AgRural estimates the Brazil second crop corn now at 99% planted as of Thursday, while they trimmed their production total by 0.5 MMT to 135.7 MMT.

Takeaway

Corn prices are facing downward pressure early in the week despite strong export sales improvements year-over-year. The market is currently weighing a slower-than-average export pace against anticipated acreage reductions and global supply estimates from Brazil ahead of key USDA reports later this week.

Disclosure

On the date of publication, Austin Schroeder did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes.

Original source

Corn Slipping Lower on Monday Morning

Published: Mar 30, 2026

Disclosure

This article is based on third-party reporting. Budget Nerd does not guarantee completeness or accuracy and is not responsible for external source content.

Corn Futures Retreat Early Monday as Export Pace Lags Behind USDA Targets | Budget Nerd